Newly Updated Computer Model Predicts Far Fewer Deaths in Wyoming

in News/Coronavirus

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By Jim Angell, Cowboy State Daily

A University of Washington computer model is now predicting far fewer deaths in Wyoming from the coronavirus than originally estimated.

The latest version of the model, released Monday, predicts that 34 people will die as a result of COVID-19, well below the prediction of 143 made two weeks ago.

In addition, the computer model shows the state should not suffer a shortage of hospital beds through the peak of the infection.

So far, Wyoming has recorded one death from the disease and remains one of the states with the lowest number of confirmed cases in the nation.

The model predicted Wyoming will see a peak of two deaths per day from the virus between May 3 and May 10, with the final total of 34 expected to be reached by May 25.

With the state having 44 intensive care unit beds available, the model also predicted Wyoming will see no shortage of facilities for those needing intensive care, expected to peak at 14 on May 4.

The model also predicted that 60 total hospital beds will be needed to treat patients with coronavirus by May 5, but with 1,069 beds available, there should be no shortage.

Wyoming Department of Health officials have said repeatedly they are looking at several different models, but are not backing any.

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